The prime aspect of the “Common Agricultural Policy” is no longer formally known as the “Single Farm Payment”, but that is the term still understood.
The bureaucracy around it can indeed be ghastly, but in fact the average payment in Northern Ireland is over twice as high as that in England. Given the relatively larger contribution of agriculture to the Northern Ireland economy, this payment is vital for rural well being.
“Brexit” means withdrawal of this payment by July 2018. It would then fall to the UK cabinet – which has had no Northern Irish representation since the 1800s – to determine how to support agriculture in Northern Ireland, bearing in mind the UK as a whole is less dependent on it.
So, how can we be sure the payment will be replaced at all? How would we ensure the Conservatives, with only one seat outside England and Wales, would maintain Northern Irish preference? How can we know how agriculture would be supported given there would likely be new tariffs on Northern Irish agricultural goods going to the Continent?
(Note well the phrasing – how can we be sure?)